
d.
Reserve risk
Reserve risk is the risk that the reserves established in respect of insurance claims incurred are insufficient to settle
the claims and associated expenses in full.
A key driver of uncertainty, which cuts across all areas of insurance risk, is the impact of inflation. When not
adequately allowed for in pricing, claim management and reserving, it has the potential to adversely impact the
underwriting result when claims are ultimately settled. Inflation is a risk that has been in focus over recent years,
given the heightened economic inflationary environment seen across most markets globally. While the longer-term
impact is yet to be seen, the risks from rising social inflation remain.
i.
Management of insurance risk
Ascot has a number of policies in place for identifying the various elements of insurance risk and mitigating the
potential downside from these risks. These include:
•
The classes and characteristics of insurance business that Ascot is prepared to accept;
•
The underwriting (including catastrophe underwriting) criteria that Ascot applies, including how these can
influence its rating and pricing decisions;
•
Ascot’s approach to limiting significant aggregations of insurance risk, including aggregation from
concentration of catastrophe perils, for example, by setting aggregate limits and/or loss assessment that
can be underwritten firm-wide, in each region, in each country, by line of business, or for one insured for
Ascot’s in-force portfolio;
•
Ascot’s approach to monitor overall aggregate risk profile at the firm-wide level, by region, by country, by
profit centre, and by entity on a regular basis; and its procedures of reporting material changes in current or
prospective aggregate risk to the Exposure Management committee and Board;
•
Ascot is cognisant of the risk the inflation uncertainty has on potential future performance and therefore,
allowance for inflation in pricing has been a key focus for all underwriting teams. From a claims
management perspective, all claims continue to be reviewed at least quarterly, ensuring case estimates are
regularly updated to reflect current settlement costs as underlying valuations are impacted by inflation.
A Claims Inflation Forum has been established for the Syndicate, with a view to managing inflation risk
between claims and actuarial function, with wider input from underwriting and risk functions.
•
Ascot’s approach to managing its expense levels, including acquisition costs, recurring costs, and one-off
costs, taking account of the margins available in both the prices for products and in the technical provisions
in the balance sheet;
•
Ascot’s approach to assessing the effectiveness of its risk transfer arrangements and managing the residual
or transformed risks. For example, how it intends to handle disputes over contract wordings, and potential
pay-out delays;
•
A summary of the data and information to be collected and reported on underwriting, claims, and risk
control (including internal accounting records), management reporting requirements, and external data for
risk assessment purposes;
•
The risk measurement and analysis techniques to be used for setting underwriting premiums, technical
provisions in the balance sheet, and assessing capital requirements; and
•
Ascot’s approach to stress testing and scenario analysis of its exposures.
Ascot will identify, assess/measure, control, mitigate and monitor insurance risk in line with the strategy and risk
appetite set by the Board (and its relevant sub-committees).
During the business planning process, the Ascot Board of Directors agrees the Annual Business Plan or Syndicate
Business Forecast (SBF) submission to Lloyd’s. This plan will consider the performance of the portfolio, the external
environment, proposed line sizes and reinsurance structure, the rating environment, and other factors.
On an ongoing basis, there are:
•
Processes for identifying the underwriting risks associated with a particular policyholder or a group of
policyholders. For example, processes for collecting information on the claims histories of insureds,
including whether they have made any potentially false or inaccurate claims, to identify possible adverse
selection or moral hazard problems;
•
Processes for establishing underwriting and distribution procedures that must be followed by all classes of
business and all types of distribution channels; these procedures should include details in respect of the
information that must be gathered in order to assess the level of insurance risk that a particular contract
brings to Ascot;
•
Processes for identifying aggregations of risk that may give rise to a large catastrophic loss. Specific
information can include, for example, risk address, locations value, construction, year built, occupancy, and
Notes to the financial statements continued
www.ascotgroup.com
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Ascot | Syndicate 1414